Hi everyone. I heard that the spinning wheel trick was fixed in update 1.6.15. I tried it about 100 times and noted the color. (I always set 10% to green). Now I have enough festival points and have noticed that it hasn't been repaired. And I've noticed that after two orange, green has to appear. Yes, mathematically that could still "only" be coincidence. I would like to hear your opinions on this. 🙂

by HexeNicola

3 Comments

  1. you have significant evidence that the wheel isn’t 50/50 and probably close to the old 75/25 split, but the “two orange before a green” thing isn’t super unexpected, if you really have a 25% of orange before green you’d expect to roll 3 orange in a row about 0.25^3 ~= 1.56% of the time

  2. I don’t know what you mean by “trick” but It’s been known that the wheel is weighted to green. It’s nothing about green “having” to appear after 2 oranges, it’s just that the odds of 2 oranges is in a row are so low that 3 in a row is approaching prismatic shard levels of rarity.

    Plus, If CA were to patch out those odds, he’d’ve likely done that by like, 1.3.