It is actually puzzling to me because penny, obviously likes orange, says she’s winning
OG-Artifician on
Bro gambling hot/cold on RuneScape back in the day had me able to predict like 10 games in a row lol
ComfortableTreat6202 on
If i hit an orange, i bet everything on green
dadgamer85 on
Short answer: yes
Long answer: duck this game
iuabv on
Shooter game is way easier.
Long-Band-180 on
Green is more likely than orange AND luck affects it, making the percentage lean heavier to whichever you pick if you have more luck. So high luck and green is the smart choice
That said you can still have greater than 50% on orange if you have high luck, but like… Green will be even higher if you pick that so just go green.
14 Comments
Yes. Green is substantially more likely than orange.
I’ve never lost. I always bet max
Hope you don’t fancy orange.
Yes, actually. The wheel spins green about 75% of the time.
All carnival games are rigged
75% probability of green. Supposedly the smart move mathematically is to bet 50% of your money on green every time. Well, the exact best bet is 46.8% of your money but no one’s doing that (https://www.reddit.com/r/StardewValley/comments/1t2oi2g/comment/ojphfg3/?context=3)
[https://stardewvalleywiki.com/Stardew_Valley_Fair](https://stardewvalleywiki.com/Stardew_Valley_Fair)
“With no Luck modifiers, the Wheel is always 2.75 times more likely to land on Green than Orange (73.3% chance of Green vs 26.6% chance of Orange).[^([1])](https://stardewvalleywiki.com/Stardew_Valley_Fair#cite_note-initialVelocity-1) The results of previous spins never affect the results of subsequent spins.[^([1])](https://stardewvalleywiki.com/Stardew_Valley_Fair#cite_note-initialVelocity-1) For maximum expected profit while protecting against losses, the player should always bet 46.7% of their current stars on Green.[^([2])](https://stardewvalleywiki.com/Stardew_Valley_Fair#cite_note-OptimalBet-2) By taking advantage of this, players can quickly earn the star tokens required to purchase all items in the shop.”
It is actually puzzling to me because penny, obviously likes orange, says she’s winning
Bro gambling hot/cold on RuneScape back in the day had me able to predict like 10 games in a row lol
If i hit an orange, i bet everything on green
Short answer: yes
Long answer: duck this game
Shooter game is way easier.
Green is more likely than orange AND luck affects it, making the percentage lean heavier to whichever you pick if you have more luck. So high luck and green is the smart choice
That said you can still have greater than 50% on orange if you have high luck, but like… Green will be even higher if you pick that so just go green.
yes and we love it